December 21, 2020 |
We have to protect the old people first to prevent the most COVID-19 deaths. COVID-19 is most deadly to older people, so vaccinating the roughly 7-10% of people who are over 70 would prevent over 75% of COVID deaths.
These estimates are from Israel, but striking: vaccinate the 0.5% of people over 90, and total fatality risk drops 19%. Vaccinate the 2.5% over 80, and it falls by half. Vaccinate the 7.5% over 70, and it drops by 3/4. Age skew remains under appreciated. https://t.co/8YqPCsZTrJ
— David Wallace-Wells (@dwallacewells) December 19, 2020
This is the distribution of COVID-19 deaths by age in Israel.
The US has similar COVID-19 deaths by age. If the US vaccinate the roughly 40 million people over the age of 65 then 90% of COVID deaths could be prevented.
A little over 10% of the effort would provide 90% of the death prevention prevent.
SOURCES- David Wallave Wells, Ariek Kovler, Infoplease
Written By Brian Wang, Nextbigfuture.com
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
